The Scenario Toolkit is a collection of open-source and free programs for use in scenario workshops. Scenarios are coherent and internally-consistent stories of possible futures that are created to help with current decision-making. The programs in the toolkit can be used to help with brainstorming sessions and to organize information.

The Toolkit

The toolkit includes:

• Scenario Manager, for organizing information about a scenario,
• Driving Force, for displaying so-called “driving forces” along the two dimensions of how influential and uncertain they are,
• Indicator Table, for brainstorming lists of indicators and how they might change in scenarios.
• Bayes Scenario Parameters, for converting qualitative statements about scenarios into quantitative parameter values.

Ways to Use the Toolkit

To programs in the toolkit can be used by individuals or in groups, for

• Individual planning,
• Small-group work around a single computer,
• Medium-to-large groups, using a computer projector.

Why Use the Toolkit

There are several reasons to use the programs in the toolkit, rather than the more traditional flip charts and sticky notes:

• More time can be given to discussion, rather than the logistics of transferring notes,
• The outcomes are documented directly, so that all participants can take the files at the end of the day, maintaining the flow of the workshop,
• The tools are specifically designed for scenario workshops.