Bayes Scenario Parameters
The Bayes Scenario Parameter generator is a tool for taking qualitative statements about scenario parameter values and turning them into quantitative values.
Download the Windows installation file for version 1.2.0.
The underlying algorithm uses Bayesian statistics. For details, see the paper
Converting qualitative assessments to quantitative assumptions: Bayes rule and the pundits wager. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 77(1), 167-171.. 2009.
If you do not have access to the journal, an early version of the paper, which explains the methodology, is available on this site, Converting Qualitative Assessments to Quantitative Assumptions: A Bayesian Approach (PDF, about 190 KB).